Lesson 1.1: Problem Tree Analysis

Quality Checklist

Self-assess your Problem Tree before engaging stakeholders in Lesson 1.2.

Quality Assurance Decision Flow

graph TD
    START["🌳 Preliminary Problem Tree<br/>from AI-Assisted Research"]

    %% Checkpoint 1: Core Problem Review
    CP1{"✓ CHECKPOINT 1<br/>Core Problem<br/>Quality Check"}
    CP1_PASS["✅ Specific, observable,<br/>no embedded causes"]
    CP1_FAIL["❌ Generic, vague, or<br/>has embedded solutions"]
    CP1_FIX["🔧 Revise Core Problem<br/>Refer to Step 2<br/>Define clear scope"]

    %% Checkpoint 2: Root Causes Review
    CP2{"✓ CHECKPOINT 2<br/>Root Causes<br/>Quality Check"}
    CP2_PASS["✅ 2-3 levels deep,<br/>(E) and (A) tagged,<br/>multi-dimensional"]
    CP2_FAIL["❌ Shallow, untagged,<br/>single-dimension"]
    CP2_FIX["🔧 Deepen Cause Analysis<br/>Refer to Step 8<br/>Add (E) and (A) tags"]

    %% Checkpoint 3: Effects & Research Review
    CP3{"✓ CHECKPOINT 3<br/>Effects & Research<br/>Quality Check"}
    CP3_PASS["✅ Time horizons mapped,<br/>sources verified,<br/>gaps acknowledged"]
    CP3_FAIL["❌ No time dimension,<br/>unverified sources,<br/>no gaps identified"]
    CP3_FIX["🔧 Strengthen Effects<br/>& Research<br/>Refer to Steps 6 & 9"]

    %% Final Outputs
    READY["🎯 READY FOR<br/>STAKEHOLDER<br/>VALIDATION<br/>(Lesson 1.2)"]
    QUESTIONS["📝 8-10 Validation<br/>Questions Prepared<br/>from (A) items"]

    %% Flow
    START --> CP1
    CP1 -->|Pass| CP1_PASS --> CP2
    CP1 -->|Fail| CP1_FAIL --> CP1_FIX --> CP1

    CP2 -->|Pass| CP2_PASS --> CP3
    CP2 -->|Fail| CP2_FAIL --> CP2_FIX --> CP2

    CP3 -->|Pass| CP3_PASS --> QUESTIONS
    CP3 -->|Fail| CP3_FAIL --> CP3_FIX --> CP3

    QUESTIONS --> READY

    %% Festa Colors
    style START fill:#F59E0B,stroke:#D97706,stroke-width:2px,color:#1F2937
    style CP1 fill:#10B981,stroke:#059669,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
    style CP2 fill:#10B981,stroke:#059669,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
    style CP3 fill:#10B981,stroke:#059669,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
    style CP1_PASS fill:#72B043,stroke:#5A8F36,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP2_PASS fill:#72B043,stroke:#5A8F36,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP3_PASS fill:#72B043,stroke:#5A8F36,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP1_FAIL fill:#E12729,stroke:#B91C1C,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP2_FAIL fill:#E12729,stroke:#B91C1C,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP3_FAIL fill:#E12729,stroke:#B91C1C,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP1_FIX fill:#F37324,stroke:#E05C1B,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP2_FIX fill:#F37324,stroke:#E05C1B,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style CP3_FIX fill:#F37324,stroke:#E05C1B,stroke-width:1px,color:#fff
    style QUESTIONS fill:#72B043,stroke:#5A8F36,stroke-width:2px,color:#fff
    style READY fill:#10B981,stroke:#059669,stroke-width:3px,color:#fff

Pass all three checkpoints and you're ready to convert assumptions into stakeholder questions.

Core Problem Quality

  • Specific population and geographic scope defined Name the population and place.
  • Problem stated without embedded causes or solutions Keep causes separate from the problem statement.
  • Observable, measurable, and clearly urgent Verifiable through data or direct observation.
  • Connects to your organization's mission and capacity Within your mission and capacity.

Root Causes Analysis

  • Causes answer why the problem exists Would the problem exist without it?
  • 2-3 levels of depth with sub-causes Direct, underlying, and structural causes.
  • Mix of evidence-based (E) and assumption (A) items At least 3-5 items marked (A).
  • Covers multiple cause categories Problems are rarely one-dimensional.
  • Potentially addressable through interventions Some should be within an NGO's reach.

Effects Mapping

  • Realistic consequences across time horizons Immediate, medium-term, and long-term.
  • Individual, community, and system-level impacts considered Not just personal; families and systems too.
  • Clear connection between problem and effects You can explain the causal link.
  • Demonstrates why solving this problem matters Urgent enough to justify the intervention.

Research Quality

  • Major claims supported by credible, recent sources UN agencies, government statistics, or established NGOs.
  • Evidence clearly separated from assumptions Nothing left unmarked.
  • Knowledge gaps and uncertainties acknowledged Honesty, not weakness.
  • 8-10 stakeholder validation questions prepared Open-ended, non-leading, targeting your assumptions.
  • Ready to learn from community insights Go in to learn, not to confirm.

Scoring Your Problem Tree

16-18
Ready for validation.
13-15
Good foundation, address gaps first.
10-12
Revisit the Step-by-Step Guide.
Below 10
Return to Phase 2 or 3.

Common Questions

How many causes and effects?
4-6 each. Clarity beats quantity.
Can't verify a source?
Tag it (A).
Validate everything first?
No, be honest about uncertainty.

Next Steps

Ready
Move to Lesson 1.2.
Gaps remain
Revisit Step-by-Step Guide.
Want inspiration
Check Examples.
Lesson 1.1: Problem Tree Analysis 82%
Step 9 of 11 · Quality Checklist